NBA picks: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander key to Spurs vs. Thunder same-game parlay for Recreation 5 on Tuesday – CBS Sports activities

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The Western Convention Finals heavyweight battle continues on Tuesday, Could 26 because the Oklahoma City Thunder host the San Antonio Spurs on the Paycom Middle. The Spurs bought 33 factors from Victor Wembanyama on Sunday as they recovered from consecutive losses to win 103-82 and tie the sequence at 2-2. The Thunder struggled mightily from the ground in Recreation 3, taking pictures simply 33% and hitting solely 18% from 3-point vary. League MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored simply 19 factors for OKC. However the Thunder nonetheless have home-court benefit, and so they went 34-7 at residence within the common season and are 5-1 there within the 2026 NBA Playoffs.
The Thunder might be with out Ajay Mitchell (calf), whereas Jalen Williams remains to be coping with a left hamstring pressure that stored him out of the previous two video games, and he’s listed as questionable. De’Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper have each had some nagging points within the playoffs, however San Antonio has no entries on the official Spurs vs. Thunder harm report.
Now, utilizing the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each sport 10,000 instances, and odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, we have constructed a three-leg same-game parlay for Spurs vs. Thunder Recreation 5. The mannequin entered the second week of the convention finals of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a scorching 26-10 roll (72%) on top-rated NBA unfold picks this season. Anybody following its NBA betting recommendation at sportsbooks and on betting apps might have seen big returns.
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Identical-game parlay odds: +397
Each of those groups are elite on each ends of the ground however protection and taking pictures points had been the order of the day in Recreation 4, when the staff mixed for simply 185 factors. The Thunder shot 33% from the sphere within the loss, however San Antonio shot simply 39% and the groups mixed to make simply 15 of 66 pictures (22.7%) from 3-point vary. The SportsLine mannequin has the Beneath hitting in 58.4% of its simulations with the projected complete simply above 210 factors, incomes the choose a ‘B’ grade.
The MVP hasn’t been taking on video games like he is anticipated to do and whereas he hasn’t performed poorly (besides in Recreation 4), he’s averaging just below 25 factors within the sequence, nicely beneath the 31.1 regular-season common that put him second within the NBA. SGA hit simply six of 15 pictures (40%) on Sunday and had 26 factors + assists. He has gone Beneath this quantity in each OKC losses within the sequence, and the SportsLine props mannequin projects him for 35.3 points + assists in Recreation 5.
Johnson averaged 13.2 factors and 1.4 assists within the common season and is at 11.5 factors + assists within the playoffs. The SportsLine props mannequin has him projected at 13.0 factors + assists in Recreation 5, making this a 4-star play. The seventh-year ahead is averaging lower than 19 minutes per sport, however he noticed 23.3 minutes per sport within the common season. He averaged 24 minutes within the first two video games of this sequence and went nicely over this quantity in each, averaging 14 factors + assists.     
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