Analytics mannequin predicts Ole Miss vs. Florida sport winner – Sports activities Illustrated

Ole Miss returns to SEC motion in a battle in opposition to unranked Florida amid rumors that Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin may take the identical place for the crew on the opposite aspect of the sector.
No matter stays in retailer for Kiffin remains to be a thriller, however there may be fixed hypothesis that he may take the job at Florida subsequent season as the present betting favourite to land with the Gators.
For now, Kiffin has the Rebels in School Soccer Playoff competition, sitting at No. 7 within the committee rankings and seemingly poised to take one of many dozen spots within the postseason area.
Waiting for this week’s matchup, let’s take a look at the most recent school soccer predictions from the Soccer Energy Index pc prediction mannequin.
The mannequin simulates each NCAA school soccer sport 20,000 occasions and makes use of key analytics from each groups and picks winners based mostly on a projected scoring margin per sport.
As you may count on, the simulations strongly favor the Rebels over the Gators on this matchup.
The pc mannequin sees Ole Miss as a robust favourite in opposition to Florida, projecting the Rebels to win 81.3% of the time in 20,000 simulated matchups.
The Gators got here out on high in simply 18.7% of simulations.
General, Ole Miss received 16,260 of the simulated video games, whereas Florida claimed victory in 3,740.
On common, the mannequin forecasts Ole Miss to be about 10.1 factors higher than Florida on the identical area — a margin that highlights the Rebels’ important edge heading into the competition.
That will nonetheless not be sufficient for the Rebs to cowl the unfold, as Ole Miss is a 15.5 level favourite in opposition to Florida, in line with the traces posted to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Soccer Energy Index (FPI) school soccer rankings and pc prediction mannequin are a measure of crew power that predicts a crew’s future efficiency. 
Rankings and scores predictions are based mostly on 20,000 simulations of a crew’s season and video games, utilizing a mix of key analytics, together with scores so far, high quality of opponents, crew expertise, recruiting, and a crew’s schedule.
Groups are ranked not so as of expertise like in different rankings, however by a projected level margin per sport in opposition to a median crew on a impartial area.
How correct was the School Soccer Energy Index pc prediction mannequin final Saturday?
Projecting the video games per week in the past, the Energy Index fashions appropriately predicted 67 % of all video games and hit 57 % in opposition to the unfold.
Predicting a complete of 799 school soccer video games a yr in the past, the Energy Index computer systems had been right for 70.964 % of their remaining picks, rating eighth nationally out of 55 different soccer fashions.
Over the past decade, the Soccer Energy Index has confirmed right on 75 % of FBS school soccer sport predictions, together with in 73 % of matchups when it favored a crew with no less than 70 % probability to win.
Recreation odds refresh periodically and are topic to vary.
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James Parks is the founder and writer of School Soccer HQ. He has coated soccer for a decade, beforehand managing a number of crew websites and publishing nationwide content material for 247Sports.com for 5 years. His work has additionally been revealed on CBSSports.com. He based School Soccer HQ in 2020, and the location joined the Sports activities Illustrated Fannation Community in 2022 and the On SI community in 2024.
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