Quick details: 1 p.m. ET; Sunday, Nov. 2; Ford Subject, Detroit; Fox; WXYT-FM (97.1).
Line: Lions by 8½.
The coaches: Lions — Dan Campbell (49-37-1 general, 44-30-1 with Lions); Vikings — (37-21 general, all with Vikings).
Final assembly: Jan. 5, 2025, Lions won 31-9.
With Carson Wentz now on injured reserve, the quarterbacking state of affairs in Minnesota has landed on former Michigan star J.J. McCarthy, whether or not he is prepared to start out or not. For what it is price, Lions defensive coordinator Kelvin Sheppard was very complimentary of McCarthy in his Thursday information convention.
“He is a bodily quarterback. I do not consider he will get sufficient credit score for that,” he mentioned. “I consider he is an amazing operating menace. That is one thing that we now have to be ready for. After which he has the moxie, I see it.”
What Sheppard sees could also be completely different than what the numbers counsel, nonetheless. McCarthy’s 67.2 passer score would rank him under all certified starters this season if he performed sufficient — even under quarterbacks who entered the season as backups corresponding to Cincinnati’s Jake Browning (70.5) and Cleveland’s Dillon Gabriel (78.4). Exterior of the fourth-quarter comeback in his staff’s opening recreation towards the Chicago Bears, McCarthy has performed poorly, main many NFL specialists to wonder if his absence from video games was much less of an harm precaution and extra of a benching.
However the Lions actually do not need to be the staff towards whom McCarthy has a breakout, so Sheppard will probably make use of what he calls his “secret sauce” — McCarthy’s former Michigan teammate Aidan Hutchinson, who’s in a great place to chase McCarthy throughout the backfield on Sunday.
How good is Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson? The 2-time All Professional is marking a profession low in receiving yards per recreation (86) and has zero landing catches in his final six video games … however nonetheless is fifth within the league in receiving yards (602).
He can be a problem for a wholesome Lions secondary, a lot much less a secondary nonetheless lacking beginning cornerback D.J. Reed and beginning security Kerby Joseph. At the very least the Lions will return security Brian Department from his one-game suspension and get a therapeutic Terrion Arnold again — although many Lions followers would in all probability marvel if that is an improve over “The Legion of Whom.”
Oh yeah — that is Sheppard’s nickname for gamers like Arthur Maulet, Erick Hallett and Nick Whiteside, defensive backs who broke out within the Lions greatest defensive recreation of the yr towards the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Count on to see extra of them towards the Vikings on Sunday, particularly if Arnold would not look 100% and the Lions move rush can annoy McCarthy sufficient.
The Vikings had the second-best rush protection in 2024 permitting 93.4 yards per recreation, an enormous motive why they had been fifth within the NFL in factors per recreation allowed (19.2).
This yr, nonetheless, the Vikings are permitting 130.4 speeding yards per recreation, ninth-worst within the league — giving Lions operating again Jahmyr Gibbs a chance for a second-straight monster recreation.
“He is a freak, man,” Lions offensive coordinator John Morton mentioned on Thursday. “We’re getting a number of explosive performs from him simply getting the ball … he is very spectacular, and the extra he does it the higher he’ll get.”
Gibbs is averaging 75.1 speeding yards per recreation, good for eighth within the league, whereas additionally including one other 27.7 receiving yards per recreation. Count on the Lions to feed him the ball via up-the-middle handoffs and checkdown passes within the flat, taking the warmth off the offensive line with left deal with Taylor Decker nonetheless enjoying via a shoulder harm.
This Vikings offense provides up a number of sacks — 4 per recreation, to be actual, second most within the NFL.
The Lions, in the meantime, sack the quarterback quite a bit — 3.3 occasions per recreation, third most within the NFL. It in all probability would not take a math wizard to determine what the Lions defensive technique towards the Vikings shall be.
That is to not say newly-extended edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson goes to get a handful of free photographs towards his former Michigan teammate J.J. McCarthy, but it surely does imply one of the best ways the Lions can shield their secondary from getting burned by Jefferson is by ensuring McCarthy by no means has sufficient time to seek out him within the first place.
The Vikings would possibly have the ability to disrupt the Lions protection with an efficient operating assault, however at 93.9 yards-per-game speeding (seventh-worst within the NFL), they may have to depend on a McCarthy breakout and a basic Jefferson showcase to have an opportunity towards the Lions. However do not wager on it — there is a motive Detroit is favored by greater than a landing, in spite of everything.
Only a few groups would really feel snug dealing with a well-rested Lions staff, and the last-place Vikings are in all probability not on that record. Lions star Jahmyr Gibbs could have one other 100-yard speeding recreation, extensive receiver Jameson Williams will get his third landing catch of the yr and the Lions will cruise at house for one among their best wins of the season. The choose: Lions 31, Vikings 17.
You may attain Christian at cromo@freepress.com